Sunday, November 4, 2012

The Redskin Rule: Intimations of Defeat

"Redskins" 11/4/12 uniforms: 1937 Throwback Uniform
Real Redskins Uniforms

Bone Fide Redskins in Uniform


The Redskin Rule, as anyone who grew up in the Washington, DC area knows, or as anyone who follows sports knows, has held true since 1937, the year the Redskins moved to Washington, DC. The rule states that if the Redskins win their last home game the Sunday before the Presidential election, the President who is the incumbent  (or the candidate of the party of the incumbent) will win the election; if the Redskins lose, the incumbent President will lose.
Since 1937, 18 games have been played and only once (Bush vs Kerry 2004) has the rule failed to predict the outcome of the election.
So, if you believe in inexplicable correlations, Mr. Obama can start packing his bags.
Personally, I am superstitious. 
On the other hand, one might ask, did the Bush vs Kerry (2004) outcome establish a new norm? 
The rule worked, once again,  for the 2008 election.
One might say, as Governor Cuomo did, we are now seeing 100 year storms every other year.  The exceptional case in 2004 was followed by a normal year in 2008, so we might be due again.
Or, one might argue, the Redskins did not play this Sunday. Look at the uniforms. Are those real  Redskins? Everyone knows the uniform is the team; it is the brand. Just ask the owners when they suited up replacement players in authentic uniforms during the players strike and the stadiums were packed. People cheered for the guys on the fields running around in the uniforms which were the franchise uniforms. They carried the colors.

So, while Mad Dog quakes and is downhearted, learning of today's Redskin outcome,  he will still wait on line for hours on Tuesday to sail against Fate. If it is written, it is written. But as Lawrence of Arabia (or Peter O'Toole) said so eloquently, "Nothing is written." 

2 comments:

  1. Mad Dog,
    Three very interesting and thought provoking posts. I enjoyed reading your take on Franklin, Lincoln and Grant-it's good to be reminded that being flawed doesn't preclude one from being great. As you point out Obama does have his flaws but he is great and has the potential to be greater if given the opportunity of a second term..

    Tonight on "60 Minutes" they interviewed David McCullough the author and historian and it was mentioned that in the 1800 Presidential election Adams said if Jefferson was elected "murder,adultery, rape and incest would sweep the land."(apparently Adams didn't believe in holding back.) Campaigns were rougher in the past-you've made the same point regarding Upton Sinclair-but at least America in 1800 had two excellent choices.It makes our 2012 choice look all the more pathetic. Obama is so superior to Romney how can the election possibly be this close??

    In recent posts you've seemed less than optimistic about the President's chances despite your time out and about with the Hobbits. Now you present the Redskin's Rule. Thanks Mad Dog.I'm not much of a football fan and have never heard of the Rule, but let's just say I wouldn't walk under a ladder if I could walk around it..This is not good news! Or as Bob would say "It's not dark yet but it's gettin there".

    Maud

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  2. Maud,

    Actually, one might argue the rule failed in 2000, when it predicted a Bush victory. Some have said Gore actually won that election; it was simply stolen by the Supreme Court.

    Mad Dog

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