Okay, here's Mad Dog's forecast: Donald Trump will not become President.
In fact, he will not get the nomination.
He will simply lose interest.
For the Donald, running for President has been like opening presents on Christmas day for the average four year old: The real fun was in the wrapping and once he's got that off, playing with the boxes the toys came in, but the actual stuff inside, not so much fun.
My over riding read on the man is he is really just doing this because he enjoys the attention, but he really does not want to be President.
He may not have realized this yet, but sooner or later he'll sit down and watch a few episodes of "West Wing" and he'll realize he really is not interested in the actual problems of governing.
He'll arrive at the convention and he'll look for a way not to win which will be maximally dramatic and the most fun.
Then he'll go home and throw a party for himself, maybe on some roof tops in New Jersey.
He could, of course, storm out and run as a third party candidate, saying the Republican Party done him wrong, but on some level he'll be relieved he doesn't have to take the job and he can play the Sarah Palin card, and simply grab the limelight whenever he wants it because as a potential future candidate, people will still be interested in him.
That will mean he can continue to be as outrageous as he pleases and 40% of the American public will continue to love him, which would never happen once he actually became President, because as soon as you become President you will start disappointing people.
So that's Mad Dog's take, and he's sticking to it.
That's the good news.
The bad news is we may well have to deal with President Cruz.