Monday, March 27, 2017

Russians: Oh, Plueeeeze!

Here's my personal experience with Russians:








1. A Russian cardiologist decided he wanted to do real estate development and he demolished the ranch house next door to my house and he built a McMansion which towered over my house, making mine look like a carriage house next door and in fact it was so out of character for the neighborhood people simply referred to it as "the monstrosity," and you never had to ask what they were talking about. Everyone knew.


2. Russian ex-pats, maybe they were embassy employees, used to play ice hockey on the C&O canal down the street from my house whenever the canal froze over, and you could hear them shout "Da! Da!" whenever anyone scored a goal. They were young men and they looked like they were having fun and you sort of had to like them.


3. I was at a dinner party once with Tim Sebastian (BBC) and Anne Garrels (NPR), news media people who were fluent in Russian and they both  were clearly enthralled by Russia, which Tim described in rapturous detail.  "The smell of sweat in the Moscow subway. The energy. The sheer magnetism of the place." 




4. A Russian émigré sold me my new Ford Taurus station wagon. He told me he was a Jew and in Russia that was stamped into his passport. I don't know if that was true. I do know the car turned out to be a lemon, suffering the fate a large number of that model suffered for about four model years--recurrent transmission failure.


5. My son made me watch an entire  Maria Sharapova tennis match. I have enough ADD, I cannot sit still to watch any sports event I'm not playing in, but he made me watch. It took 2 hours.  Her opponent looked to me to be the better player, quicker, more precise shots, better ball movement and placement, but Sharapova was relentless. She'd lose a game, a set, but she kept on coming back at this smaller, more agile player, until she finally wore her down and beat her. I don't know if you can generalize to all Russia from Ms. Sharapova, but that did seem to be the Russian strategy during WWII.


6. A Russian émigré friend worked for Voice of America, and he was a delightful fellow, with a wonderful, mordant view of the world--he simply expected the government to lie, all governments--Russian and American and British--it's simply their default posture, he said.
"But the Voice of America is a government agency," I said. "Do you lie for a living?"
"I say what I'm told to say. I cannot know if it is true or not. But since it comes from the government, I assume at least some of it is not true."
"So you lie for a living?"
"At least here," he smiled, "I lie for the good guys."






One thing about Vladimir Putin and the current Russian government, it's pretty obvious he kills people who displease him. Rather a more aggressive response than tweeting, but it does have the virtue of clarity, and, apparently, there is a long tradition of this sort of practice in Russia.


Having said all this, do I care if Mr. Putin worked hard to help Mr. Trump get elected?
Not in the least.
I worked hard to persuade others to vote against Mr. Trump.
In the end, it was the decision of the voters.
The voters were bombarded with information and misinformation and they knew enough to distrust all of it.
Doesn't matter whether the Russians released stuff about Hillary's emails. I cannot believe any of that was determinative.  All sorts of things undermined HIllary: Her speeches to Wall Street for $225,000 a pop which she could never satisfactorily explain, could never shake the idea she was bought and paid for by Wall Street, her stand on abortion, her gender, her pant suits. Who knows what combination of things cost her Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin and Florida?
But the Russians had no chance of changing minds in any of those places, no matter how persuasive they tried to be.




Sunday, March 26, 2017

Dreams of the Worm Turning

Remarks at Prescott Park, Fall, 2017



Jumbotron shows images of adorable immigrant children coming in at Ellis Island mixed with more recent children at the detention centers for women and children in Texas, mixed with images of the wall along the Texas border and the Statue of Liberty.



Leftist Marching Band and Revolutionary Rhythm Section play under a flag:  Liberty League, Indivisible They are playing “With a Little Help from My Friends,” then “I Can See Clearly Now.”

Old man walks on stage and sings, acapella , to the tune “Oh, Death.”
Ooh Trump!
Whooooah Trump
Won’t you build me a wall right away?
Well, what is that I can’t see
With no Trumpcare taking care of me.
Well I am Trump none can excel
I’ll open the door to heaven or Hell
Whoa Trump someone would say
Could you build me a wall right away?
The children prayed the preacher preached
Time and mercy is out of your reach
I’ll fix your  eyes so you can’t blink
I’ll fix your brain so you can’t think
I’ll close your eyes so you can’t see
This very hour come and go with me
Trump has come to take your soul
Leave your body and leave it cold.



Old man leaves stage handing microphone to MC, who wears a hat “Qui Tacit Consentit”



MC:  Wow! Will you look at this crowd!  Biggest crowd since…well ever. 
And the lines of people still trying to get in!  Thousands out there. Stretched all the way back to the Maine border, which is, I admit, just the Piscataqua River, but really incredible. 
I heard this is even bigger than the crowd at the Inauguration! Which, I don’t know, may be true. Lady in the parking lot told me. Same lady who told me vaccines cause mental problems. So incredible. Really. All the way to the border.

And I heard Paul LePage is building a wall on his side of the border. You know Paul Le Page: He's the first coming. Now we've had the second coming of the Mesiah. But Paul was the first. And he’s building this wall and he's making New Hampshire pay for it, because, you know, Maine is open for business. And you know what that means.  Do you know what that means?  Tell me, what does that mean? I never could figure that one.

So you’re probably wondering why I invited you all here today.

I’m asking myself the same thing. Really, I think it’s group therapy.
Not like a group hug. I’ am so  through with hugs, man, really had enough of that. Time is over for talking about how scary life is, how mean, how uncaring--had enough of that.

So what do we do?  Well, we are here in a pretty small state, so what can we do? We are not the smallest state by population. There’s Rhode Island, and Wyoming. Is Wyoming actually a state?  They have two Senators,  must be a state.  Then again, Kentucky has two senators and looking at that as a indicator of statehood, well, the bar for statedom has got to be pretty low. What, really, is a state? One thing is it has got to have borders. Walls, not so much, but that may be coming. Personally, I think if they extended that wall down in Texas all the way around that state, we might all be better off. Keep those Texans behind that wall. Like crating Fido, you know? But that's not really why we're here.


I digress. I do that a lot. It’s better than smoking pot and it’s just as diversionary.

Even, small as we are, people pay attention to us. For about two weeks in January, every four years, they pay attention to us and then they move on.  It’s like “Will you still love me tomorrow?” And they never do. Talk about a one night stand.  And we fall for it every time.  
But for those two weeks, it’s really fun.  And then, about seven, eight months later, that’s the typical gestation period, we find out what we got.

So, I had this idea:  Maybe we could actually have a conversation. You know, not just wham bang, thank you New Hampshire, but maybe we could actually say something that mattered.

Did you know that when one of George Washington’s slaves escaped, Ona Judge, she somehow got all the way from Philadelphia to New Hampshire—man, she must have really not liked Washington—and Washington, well, he was a nice guy in a lot of ways I guess, but he apparently got pretty worked up about his property getting up and leaving, so he told the governor of New Hampshire he wanted his property returned to him—and this was before the fugitive slave act—and the governor of New Hampshire said, “Well, actually, what you are calling your property, is a human being, and this particular human being says she does not want to be owned by you, or anyone else.”

“But you can’t listen to that. That’s my property. She doesn’t have any rights.”
And this was way before Dred Scott, right?


And the governor said, “Well, maybe she doesn’t have any rights in Mount Vernon, but up here in Portsmouth, she is a human being and human beings have rights.”

Now, of course, I wasn’t around at the time. And in the 18th century, there were no recordings or TV or youtube, but I like the story the way I told it. Sort of alternative facts, or alternative history. And, any way, the essentials must be pretty close, because Washington never did get his slave back. 

She was the winner, in that one. She was a refugee who got across the border and was free.  And, far as I know, people around here are happy she did.
So, we've said and done important things before. No reason we can't do that again.


We The People Vs. We The Maps



We the People is the way our Constitution begins.  That document describes the rules and outlines of a new nation, and it begins not with geography, or money, or descriptions of purple mountain majesties or rivers, but with the people. 

A government of the people, by the people for the people, Lincoln said, as he formulated the reasons for the second American Revolution which was the Civil War. 

But, of course, Hamilton, Jefferson and Washington and enough of the founding fathers, those 18th century men in whigs and silk stockings were afraid of "the people" so they constructed a country of states with borders and the government embodied land, borders, states as players just as important, more important than the people. 

Looking at the 2016 census, you can group the states in different ways, but there seem to be several distinct categories:

1.  States of roughly 20 million or more souls:California (39 m), Texas (27 m), Florida (20 m) New York (19m). These are the Huge States. (4 states)

2. States of 8-13 million:  Pennsylvania (13 m), Illinois(13m), Ohio (11m), Georgia (10m), North Carolina (10m), Michigan (10m), New Jersey (9m), Virginia (8m). These are the Big 8 States. (8 states)

3. States of 4-7 million: Washington (7m),Arizona (7 m),Massachusetts (7 m), Tennessee (6m), Indiana (6m), Missouri (6m), Maryland (6m), Wisconsin (6m), Colorado (6m), Minnesota (6m), South Carolina (5m), Alabama (5m), Louisiana (5m), Kentucky (4m), Oregon (4m), Oklahoma (4) Connecticut (3.5m)  These are Middleweight States.  (17 states)

4. States of roughly 3 million: Iowa(3m), Utah (3m), Mississippi (3m), Arkansas (3m), Nevada (3 m) Kansas (3m), New Mexico (2m), Nebraska (2m), West Virginia (2m) These are the Lightweight States. (9 states)

5. States of less than 2 million: Idaho, Hawaii, New Hampshire, Maine, Rhode Island, Montana, Delaware, South Dakota, North Dakota, Alaska, Vermont, Wyoming. These are the Mini States. (12 states)



2016 vote by population

All these states get about one Representative in the House per 700,000 population. But in the United States Senate, Barbara Boxer represents 18 million voters where Bernie Sanders represents 312 thousand voters. 
2016 vote by counties

Until the 2016 election, half of the biggest group (Middleweight) states were liberal, blue states, but that fell to 1/3 with the election of Trump. Of the Huge states, half are liberal, half conservative. Of the Big 8 States, only 2 are consistently liberal, the other 2/3 flip back and forth. Of the lightweight states only one (New Mexico) is liberal. Of the dozen Mini States, 1/3 are reliably liberal.

Of the 21 states in the Lightweight and Mini divisions only 4 are reliably liberal (New Mexico, Hawaii, Delaware and Vermont.) 
The End Result of Disproportionate Political Power

If the Senate were reconstructed to reflect population, then 17 states which now exert disproportionate power would enjoy only a power proportionate to their people.  These 17 states now stand in the way of a single payer/government option for health care, a Supreme Court which lives in the 21st as opposed to the 18th century, a robust environmental protection agency, the development of wind and solar power on a scale which could connect nearly every American home to the grid without increasing CO2, the resurgence of labor unions and any hope for a fair break for the middle class, free college tuition at reliable not for profit state universities, a tax code with is friendly to the middle class and which asks more from those to whom much has been given, and a huge new infrastructure program could be undertaken which would provide full employment for generations. 

If the Supreme Court were composed of 9 voting justices, the 9 most recently appointed, with 2 new justices appointed by the President with each Presidential term, then progress on a multitude of fronts would be possible.

But that is not the America we have. We are still living with the distrust of We The People which we inherited from some men who were slave owners and from some who simply distrusted the rifraff. 



Slaver





Saturday, March 25, 2017

Fever Dreams




Unlike liberal Democrats, those of  the reactionary Republican persuasion have been thinking about what they want for years. 

In 2000, the platform of the Texas GOP included:
1/ A return to the gold standard
2/ Abolition of the Federal Reserve
3/ Elimination of the minimum wage
4/Abolition of Social Security
5/ Repeal of the 16th Amendment (federal income tax)
6/ Elimination of the IRS.

We are not talking about some wacko splinter group, living off the grid survivalists in Wyoming here. We are talking about a mainstream, state of Texas state Republican party.  The party of Louis Gohmert. 

Now, I ask you, while these fellow Americans have been dreaming these fever dreams, what have liberal Democrats been dreaming?

You know, the fact is, for something to happen, you must first imagine it.  Well, that's not entirely true. You can develop a disease you'd never imagine in a million years. But if you want to create something, if you want to go somewhere, build something, you have to dream first. And these people have been dreaming fervently. That is a problem for the rest of us, don't you think?

Here are members of today's "Freedom Caucus" in the United States Congress, the guys who blocked the All American Healthcare Act, because it still required insurance companies to cover hospitalization. 
I'm going to Google each one of these guys, day by day, just to see how really creepy they are. But remember, these guys are representatives of thousands of people, who think like they do.

Sweet dreams.


Andy Biggs
AZ-5
Bill Posey
FL-8
Dave Brat
VA-7
Jim Jordan
OH-4
Justin Amash
MI-3
Louie Gohmert
TX-1
Mark Meadows
NC-11
Mo Brooks
AL-5
Paul Gosar
AZ-4
Randy Weber
TX-14
Raúl R. Labrador
ID-1
Rod Blum
IA-1
Ted Budd
NC-13
Ted Yoho
FL-3
Tom Garrett
VA-5

REPEAL! Don't Let that Dog off the Leash

The Republicans in Congress are that classic brand of coward who will taunt the dog who is leashed to the front porch, dance around throwing stones at him, as long as they can see nothing will happen to them.

But once that dog is off the leash, they don't want anything to do with that beast; they won't even set foot in the front yard. They'll cross the street and run as fast as they can.

So every day for 7 years they hurled invectives at Obamacare, said what a disaster it would be/is/was and they threw stones and they voted daily to repeal it, because they knew their votes would never have any effect.

You might think they would have been thinking about what they would do to replace it, if they ever got a chance. You might think when President Trump won the election November 8, more than 4 months ago, they would have done a few retreats, listened to some invited experts about what a good health care plan would require, had some late night sessions about what they wanted to do now.

But no.

They are all talk, no action.
Action would require crunching numbers, talking about policy, thinking about what sort of world they would like to see.
But no.
They are what they've been since at least 2008, the party of No.
Mitch McConnell said his only job in 2008 was to make sure whatever President Obama wanted to do would not happen.


Apparently, he liked that job and will do the same for Mr. Trump.

Friday, March 24, 2017

Repeal and Replace Fails: Trump Claims Victory

Got to hand it to President Trump: He said he'd drain the swamp and he did it.
As he said tonight, he has said for the past 18 months Obamacare would implode and everyone would lose health care and it's in its death spiral and now the country is going to get what it deserves for allowing the Democrats to kill the Republican American Healthcare Act.
I mean how can you vote against a bill called the American Healthcare Act?
Maybe they should have called it the "All American Healthcare and Winning Act," but I quibble.
People will die! And they deserve to!  They wouldn't listen to me.

I was wrong. I could not imagine the Republicans would not pass this law after they voted every day for 7 years to repeal it. You just knew that whole time they were crafting their bill, which would provide the world's best medical care to the top 1% and pretty good health care to the top 20% and okay health care to the next 20% and the rest of the population could just die, because, well, they really are so undeserving anyway.
This is more fun than the Trojan war!

Well, it's on to tax cuts, and I got to say, I'm relieved. The tension the past few days has been close to unbearable.  I kept expecting Jim Jordan to tear off his shirt and reveal his wrestling singlet and leap up onto Speaker Ryan's podium and scream, "You want a piece of me?" 


It's his fault
It was reassuring to see Louie Gohmert on camera explaining how the Party has to just go back to fundamentals, like organizing posses to track down dark skinned Mexicans who have slipped across the border President Obama refused to defend, intent on raping white women. Well, who wouldn't want to rape white women? Mr. Gohmert is pretty obsessed about the raping of white women, something which bothers President Trump, too. He keeps bringing up that woman who was raped by a Mexican who shouldn't have been in the country.

Do Black or Hispanic women or any kind of non white women ever get raped? Are white women rape magnets? What is this thing about rape?

But about health care.  Speaker Ryan sighed and said it will be with us in its death spiral for the foreseeable future, which Mr. Trump says will be a short future because Obamacare is in its death throes. 

I want to see more of Jim Jordan. He says he's going to work tonight on another plan.  He's been working on plans for the past 7 years, but tonight he's going to get serious, right after he does 100 push ups and 200 sit ups. 

Now that's what I call preventive care. 

What Should An American Government Do?

This morning I went on the website of the Food and Drug Administration to find out what the FDA could tell me about the safety of a particular drug. If there were no FDA, I suppose I could have gone on a university medical school website for the same information, or maybe a commercial website like "The Medical Letter" but the FDA provides that service.


I also checked out the weather report on the Weather Channel and they use government weather satelittes put up in space by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
And I drove over the Merrimack River, which is now clean and full of fish owing to the EPA's regulations which cleaned up what was once a cesspool.
The road I drove in on is part of the Eisenhower interstate highway system.
Overhead flew airplanes guided by air controllers in the employ of the Federal Aviation Administration.
On the way in I listened to the radio story about a boat which needed a United States Coast Guard rescue.


I suppose all these things could be done by private companies, eventually.
President Trump recently submitted a budget which increased spending for the military and decreased it for everything else.
It was a very masculine budget. We spend on weapons, surveillance, border protection, armies, navies and war planes.
We don't care about soft things like healthcare, which we want to cut out of the government budget as much as possible. We don't have any use for the arts or national parks or stuff that isn't masculine and tough.


If the Marlboro man wouldn't like it, our government should not be interested, either.


Where does money and finance fall on that spectrum? All those economic and financial reports which the government churns out: employment, consumer price index, calculation of GDP.  I guess private companies could do that, the same way private companies rated the risks and value of various mortgage backed securities right before the financial crisis of 2009--if you can't recall how well that worked, just watch the movie "The Big Short."

Government is Bad, except when it's tracking down Mexicans

I don't know, maybe the Republica ns are right. Maybe we don't need no friggin government, except for defense and border control and to hunt down people who like doing abortions.


Then again, what do Republicans know about all the things government actually does?