Monday, June 27, 2022

It's Not About Roe

 The original sin of the United States has long been said to be slavery; and it is difficult to deny that sin was so overwhelming it obscured all others. But the second sin was awarding representation in Congress on the basis of enslaved body counts, expanses of land, mountains and sagebrush, i.e. setting up a country where land meant more than people.




Which is to say what kind of Republic can claim to be a representative democracy when local land barons can claim the same number of US Senators in a state like Wyoming or North Dakota as the states of California or New York?

The fact is, no matter how many polls suggest that 70% of Americans favor abortion or "reproductive rights" (and I doubt this is true, but just for the sake of argument, let's say it is) all that matters is how many Senators are for it or against it. 

That the Supreme Court was able to thwart the opposition to abortion in 1973 is really pretty remarkable. The fact is, the Court is a political animal, and for all the abracadabra about legal reasoning, the cases that reach the Court are, in many cases, and especially in this case, not about law at all, but about the personal beliefs and persuasion of the justices or, in some instances about the Court's perception of what the popular mood is.

This has been true since at least Dred Scott: If Roger Taney looks at a slave petitioning for his freedom and says, "You are not a man, not a human being. You are property belonging to someone else,  and you are certainly not a citizen, so you have no right to appear before the Court," where is that in the Constitution? Does the constitution define a human being? It may define a citizen as a person born within the borders but it does not define "person" beyond saying something about 2/3 of a person.



If Harry Blackmun looks at a woman who wants an abortion and says her right to privacy entitles her to control her own body, then he is denying the claim that in the case of abortion there are undeniably two bodies and possibly two sets of rights involved, that of the fetus and that of the woman carrying the fetus. If the fetus is like Dred Scott, it has no rights. It is not a human being.

Blackmun spent precious little time in his opinion justifying the right to privacy and most of his time trying to decide the essential issue in the case of abortion: When does human life begin? When does the fetus, like Dred Scott gain "standing" before the Court. That is, when does human life begin and up to what point is the fetus the property of the mother?

6 weeks Gestation




The standard complaint is abortion rights are about the rights of a woman to control her own body; but the counter is obvious--you have every right to control your own body, but you do not have a right to control someone else's body and if you believe the fetus or a cluster of 8 cells is someone, then you have no right to control that. 

Blackmun decided human life begins at "viability,"  (i.e., the point at which the fetus is capable of living outside the body of the mother, even if that existence, that life is dependent on the efforts of a neonatal ICU.)

22 weeks Gestation


There was nothing new about Blackmun's formulation. Life begins when the baby draws its first breath, was one solution favored by some churches. Life begins at "quickening," i.e. when the mother can first feel the conceptus move. Life begins at fertilization has been the mantra of Right to Lifers. (Of course, this poses theological problems, for some, because likely more than half of all two cell zygotes never make it past a thousand cells and are lost, and if ensoulment has occurred so early, there are a lot of lost souls hanging about in purgatory.) Or life begins with a heartbeat. The problem with the heart beat line is you have to figure out what you're calling a heart: most of the science suggests true heart, differentiated heart cells are not present until 20 weeks gestation, although there are some electrically active, "beating" (or twitching or contracting/relaxing cells much earlier.)

8 weeks Gestation


But all this goes way beyond privacy or equal protection under the law or the 14th amendment. Truth is, the Supreme Court, ever since Marbury v Madison has been asked to tell us what the law (i.e. the Constitution) tells us we cannot vote on and there is no mention of privacy or abortion in the Constitution, so much as it pains me to say it, those medieval Inquisitors on the Court are likely correct when they argue that abortion, gay marriage, contraceptive use by married couples are likely all things which should be voted on. 

For 50 years we got away with not having to vote on this divisive issue because the Court stepped in and made a decision. Now the Court says, no, we have to start arguing about all this in the legislatures, it is not going to step in and referee this fight. You have to vote on it. 

But vote where? We could say the Congress, the people's representatives should vote on all this, but then you run into a problem, and that is the problem liberal Democrats (like me) have seen for decades: the Congress, mostly the US Senate, is not at all representative of "the people's will." When John Thune and John Barrasso, who are the Senators from South Dakota and Wyoming who represent, combined,  roughly 1.3 million (about the population of New Hampshire) have as much to say about abortion, gay marriage, and contraceptive use by married couples as Dianne Feinstein and Chuck Schumer who represent 80 million people combined, then we do not have a representative democracy. Or we have to ask if this is a representative democracy, what or whom does it represent?



As for the current Court, it is of course the creature of conservative politics, the Federalist Society, the evangelicals, the neo Nazi Republican Party of the resentful Right. The pathetic thing is to watch so many people react as if they are shocked, just shocked (!) these folks have performed just as they were selected to perform. When Adolf Hitler ranted from stages all over Germany about the world wide Jewish conspiracy which had stabbed the noble German army in the back during WWI, a war Germany never lost but which was a case of victory having been stolen from the rightful winner, many Germans were shocked, just shocked that he really meant what he was saying. 

So it is with our current Court. They are every bit as conservative as we thought they were and as the man who appointed them who says all those wild things we did not believe anyone would ever believe.( In fact, that argument of you should not believe outrageous things just because someone says them has been advanced by Sidney Powell in her own defense against the voting machine company, Dominion Voting, in the defamation lawsuit. Powell said  Dominion stole the election by hocus pocus in their computers--well, says Sidney now, nobody in their right mind should have ever believed something so baseless. It's not my fault if people are fools.)

As Mad Dog has argued for so long, our problem with the Court is we have wanted it to be the "Father Knows Best" Court, who will hand down sagacious opinions, without prejudice, and basing their calls, like umpires on simply looking at the pitch in the strike zone, a rectangle of justices which is so well defined it doesn't matter who the umpire wants to prevail, the lines are drawn impartially and clearly. It doesn't matter if it's Babe Ruth or Ty Cobb at the plate: the lines are drawn the same for all. 

But the controversial social cases which come before the Court are mostly beyond the scope of the law. So they have to make it up as they go along, not because they are vile people but because The people demand a decision. So, the justices rely on what their parents, not their law professors, taught them.

And this means they know what result they want and they construct a road to get there. One of the most glaring examples of this was Scalia's opinion in Heller. Scalia loved guns. Scalia thought an armed population could never be dominated by tyrants. (As if Vladimir Putin would be much intimidated by a population armed with AR-15's.) So, Scalia ignored that annoying first phrase of the 2nd amendment, "A well regulated militia being necessary to the security of a free state," and he spent pages on the meaning of the word "people" in that second part "the right of the people to keep and bear Arms" as if the first sentence never existed. The only place in the Constitution where the founders actually explain WHY they are conferring a right and that explanatory phrase is ignored like the proverbial red headed step child. (Personally, I would never ignore a red head.)

The Court has been worshiped as an institution unaffected by the passions of the moment. It stands above, insulated from hot feelings, rendering carefully worded, dispassionate opinions which calm the tumult, except of course, when it doesn't.  The Court dresses itself in priestly robes and ceremony is very important. "If it please the Court. Oyez! Oyez!" It's a wonder sessions do not begin with Court clerks wandering around swinging smoking incense containers.  The Court as the anchor of bedrock Constitution, as a bastion of law above passion is a comforting bedtime story; but is not reality. 

The fact is, the Court is and has to be, whether we like it or not, a creation of human beings, of their beliefs and passions and as the mood of the country shifts, so should that of the Court.  The idea of trying to find meanings in documents written by 18th century land owners or 19th century antagonists like so many churchgoers who believe "all the answers are in this Good Book," is burying our collective heads in the sand.  The answer, dear America, lies not in the stars, but in ourselves.  Every time an administration changes, the new President appoints a new cabinet and he (or she) ought to appoint a new Court, rotating from the federal judiciary some judges up to SCOTUS justice positions, or simply finding new ones.  Stop fantasizing about "stability" and judiciousness and start facing reality.

As I count it, there are 20 states where sentiment is against abortion--the old Confederacy and some of its diaspora. But there are 6 to 8 states where opinion is closely divided. And this 6 to 8 may change over time. If there are 28 states against abortion, that's 56 Senators, almost a super majority of Senators, but those 56 Senators represent less than 40% of the nation's people. 

And that, my fellow citizens, is the problem.

When we have a structural problem with the very conception of how a representative Democracy should work, then abortion is only the most current and visible problem we've got. We simply have a system which is so undemocratic, we cannot govern, and the nation is no more than an oligarchy. 


Wednesday, June 15, 2022

How They Hear Us

 




Hampton, New Hampshire, Midsummer Day's Dreamscape


Mad Dog always brings reading material to his barber, knowing there will usually be a wait. There was a guy in the barber's chair, a machinist who works at the Foss factory half a mile down Route 1,  and two others ahead of him, waiting their turns in the chairs lining the walls of the small shop: Dan, who owns the garage across the street from the shop and farmer Brown, who owns the last actual working farm left in Hampton up off Towle Farm Road. The shop has two barber chairs, although it is a one man shop.

Unfolding a paper  Mad Dog  silently read the opening lines:

"Three themes are emerging from these issues that I think set up a positive message of what we are fighting for while also contrasting powerfully with what we're fighting against.

-Affordability

-Compassion

-Excellence."

Farmer Brown, seated across from Mad Dog, noticed him wince.

"Bad news?" he asked.



"Depends how you define 'news,'" Mad Dog said. "This it the Message from the President of the  Hampton Democrats for the upcoming election." 

Mad dog read the farmer about affordability, compassion and excellence.

Dan, the garage guy laughed. He was sitting in the chair next to Mad Dog and he leaned to read over his shoulder.

The barber laughed. 

The machinist  in the barber's chair  laughed.



What does he mean by "compassion?" asked farmer Brown. 

"Not a concept you'd be familiar with," Mad Dog said. "The way you slaughter your pigs. Not a drop of compassion flowing through your veins."

"Not to mention what he does to those turkeys in November," the barber added.

"I am very compassionate when it comes to pigs and turkeys," farmer Brown replied indignantly. "Not so much to chickens."



"Hampton Dems are fighting for a compassionate state that welcomes all people. Towns that welcome everyone, whether they've lived here for generations or just arrived. Schools that welcome children, regardless of their ability, race, gender identity, sexual orientation, or language. Local and state governments that encourage participation from every corner of every community and celebrate and honor public service. And communities that take care of one another, especially the neediest and most vulnerable," Mad Dog read.

"So, wait," the machinist said, from the barber's chair, "We welcome the neediest? Which means we tax me to pay for people who don't want to work?"

"And what's gender identity?" asked farmer Brown. "You mean like queer or straight?"

"Oh, no," Mad Dog explained. "Gays have no problem with gender identity. A gay guy will tell you he is very definitely male. He just wants to have sex with other males. But some guys with testicles and a penis will tell you they don't feel like males."

"Well, how can he not 'feel like a male' if he's got balls and a dick?" asked Dan. 

"Well, he doesn't," Mad Dog explained. "He feels like the balls and dick are a sick joke, that he's really a woman trapped in a man's body."

"Well, goddamn," said the machinist. 

"Like Bruce Jenner," said the barber. 

"That guy won an Olympic gold medal as a man," said the barber. "And then he cut off his own dick and balls and posed on the cover a magazine in a slinky dress."

"Well, goddamn," repeated the farmer. "That don't seem right. That's sick is what that is."

"See," said Mad Dog, "There you go: Lack of compassion."

"Definitely," said the machinist. "Some poor dumb sonabitch cuts off his own balls, and you got to feel sorry for that dumb sucker."



"What else is this guy for?" asked farmer Brown.

"Family and medical leave."

"Oh, wonderful," said Dan. "I got nine employees and I'm supposed to pay guys to take time off every time one of their wives or girlfriends has a baby? I mean, I hired these guys, and I try to treat my employees right, because, God knows, it's hard to find them, train them, keep them. But I didn't think I was adopting every goddamn one of them. I'm already paying disability and workmen's comp for them."

"You keep talking like that," the machinist said. "And they'll unionize."

"Hampton Dems are fighting for a town and a state where residents can afford, not just to live but to thrive. This means affordable housing for owners and renters, affordable childcare for parents and their babies, affordable and clean energy for us to heat our homes and get us from point A to B, and an affordable college education and job training for our young folks to learn, live and stay in NH," Mad Dog read.

"Well, welcome to fucking Denmark!" said the farmer. "Like shopping in a candy store without a dime in your pocket! How you gonna do all that? Who's going to build housing and on whose dime? I can't afford a new roof for my barn and I'm gonna pay for someone to have affordable housing, whatever the Hell that is. What is that anyway?"

"There is nothing wise or brave about being so heartless," Mad Dog read. "That's you farmer Brown, just heartless."

"Yeah, well I wish some Hampton Dem was a little more heart felt for me. I have enough trouble paying property taxes to worry about sending some neighbor's kid to college. And childcare! I'd love to see that, for my daughter who has a kid she's got to pay half her paycheck for childcare. But I don't ask the taxpayer to pay for it."



"Every time I hear a shopping list like this from AOC or Bernie, all the things the government can do for me," Dan said, "I grab my wallet and hold on tight. I run a tight ship, myself.  I have income, which I can enhance if I work harder, and I have expenses, which  I kept a tight hold over, but then, if the government comes in and piles on more expenses than I can plan for, where am I then?"






Monday, June 13, 2022

What to Do About Guns


A single death is a tragedy.

A million deaths is a statistic.

--Joseph Stalin

 The Phantom heard an eye opening podcast from the NY Times today, which prompted some Googling and changed his mind about some things related to guns.



Some important things to understand:

1. As horrific as they are, mass school shootings like Sandy Hook, Uvalde, Columbine are very rare events compared to the daily rate of gun deaths in America, and they account for less than 1% of all deaths of children by gunfire--most children who die by guns die on street corners or from stray bullets, or in home accidents, or, in the case of adolescents, by gun suicide. 



Actually, the easiest number with the most agreement is that about 1% of all children killed by guns in this country die in school mass shootings. 

But trying to tease out the other numbers is maddeningly difficult. What you really want to know:

       a/ How many kids were killed by guns altogether, including those who were and were not killed in mass shootings?

       b/ How many kids were killed by guns they were playing with, i.e. not intending to use to harm anyone, but by accident?

       c/ How many kids were killed by gun violence aimed at other people, but were "collateral deaths"? That is, unintentional deaths.

       d/ In which states are most kids killed by guns? 

This last number is easier to come by: Unsurprisingly, the states with the highest number of dead kids from guns are in the South and West: South Carolina, Louisiana, Alabama, Mississippi and Wyoming and Texas were the leaders while Massachusetts, New Jersey were relatively safe states for kids. States where the 2nd Amendment is considered the 11th Commandment have higher numbers of gun deaths. 



This is actually no surprise. Going back to pre Civil War day, the murder rates, mostly by guns, in the Confederacy and its extensions to the Wild West were far higher than in the more civilized East. The South and its extension into the Mountain West have always been violent places, poorer, relatively uneducated. They really do cling to their guns and religion in these parts. 

2. A "mass shooting" is defined as 4 or more people shot, either fatally or not, occurring as a single incident. This could be somebody is shooting unarmed victims in  a grocery store, but may often be shoot outs between armed gang members on street corners, where some of their targets have guns and some people are just caught in the crossfire. 

So when Uvalde happens and lots of statistics get put out by journalists who are saying Uvalde is just another example of mass shootings gone wild, they are misleading the public.  School shootings are likely an entirely different species. They are sui generis. 

What really horrifies us is the idea of a school shooting, so we want to pass laws to stop that, but hardening school, the major fix has not worked. 

Because it's often males under the age of 21 doing the shootings, limiting their access to AR-15's sounds like a reasonable thing to do, but looking at individual instances, given the small number of cases, it's not clear how many could have been prevented, given a determined adolescent who shoots his mother or grandmother on the way out the door. Exceptional cases make bad law. 

The problem is, when you start talking about solutions, the solution to one sort of horror (school shootings) may do absolutely nothing for another, e.g suicide or street shootings.

Utterly Vile


3. 54% of all American gun deaths are suicides. Lumping single men who blow their own brains out with a 15 year old shooting school kids with an AR-15 makes little sense.  And, while we might want to prevent suicide by gun, a laudable goal, talking about solutions to school shootings and mixing in solutions for gun suicides is ridiculous. 

"Gun deaths" are not the same as "mass shootings" which are not really the same as "school shootings" which are a very small subset of "mass shootings."

4. There are over 300 million guns in America and if we decided to take everyone's gun away, these guns could be simply buried in the back yard. Clamping down on ammunition would make more sense.



So trying to prevent the next Uvalde is difficult. The Phantom has to admit, he has no plan he thinks would work. Reducing the number of AR-15's sold to young homicidal maniacs makes sense. Most of the shooters are young males. 

The Phantom remembers so vividly witnessing a smiling White salesman in a Virginia Walmart, years ago, handing a large hand gun across the counter to a Black kid who looked to be no older than 12 and his younger brother, about 10. The fascination of that kids, as they touched, really fondled that black gun, and the gleam in the eye of the salesman--God only knows what he was thinking--are images indelibly burned into the Phantom's brain.

But, whatever plan we have, we have to know it is likely to fail to prevent all school shootings. We'll never know if any plan, say forbidding AR-15 sales altogether, prevented a mass shooting. You don't know how many school shootings you prevent. You can only measure the ones you did not prevent.