For some time, Mad Dog has been reading the history of the Weimar Republic as if he is reading today's news, but, as has been noted by many, the peace of 1918 was simply a twenty year interregnum until the inevitable war which rolled around once the sides rearmed.
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Give 'Em Hell Harry |
Now, Mad Dog is immersed in 1948, just 30 years after that maligned treaty, when Truman and his war hawk cabinet decided to go all out on devoting the economy and the focus of national thought on preparing for the final show down with a nuclear Soviet Union. Defense pending in those years was somewhere around 20-30% of the federal government's budget. Today America spends around 13% and the Europeans struggle to get over 2%.
Reading about Truman is such an echo to today, it is downright eerie: As Peter Kuznik and Oliver Stone recount in their alternative history, "The Untold History of the United States," all the stuff we are dealing with today was put in place in that year, and simply never resolved, despite the fall of the Soviet Union and all the other changes in international relations.
There have been some real shifts: The British Empire really was destroyed by World War Two and the Brits handed over world domination to the United States. They decided to play Greece to our Rome, as Christopher Hitches noted. It's still an empire dominated world: but the empire this time is contained in container ships and military bases, not a local raj system.
Problems simply were never solved.
The Exodus |
The founding of Israel is just one of many examples. The United States did not want the Jewish refugees following the Holocaust, just as it did not want to admit them as the Third Reich emerged or during the Holocaust. Hitler remarked dismissively about remarks from some Americans about his treatment of the Jews: "Well, if you feel that way, why didn't you just allow them to immigrate to America? No, you don't want them. Why should we?"
And after the Holocaust, when Franklin Roosevelt asked the king of Saudi Arabia about allowing Jewish refugees to go to Palestine, the King replied replied, why push them on to an innocent bystander? Put them back to the source of the problem, where those who harmed them can restore them. (He meant Germany.) The tension between the wretched refuge on the teeming shores of Palestine, who settled in and made the desert bloom, and the Arabs who were sheep herding and already there, has not yet been solved. There were something on the order of 35,000 Jews and 650,000 Arabs in that general area covered by the British "Balfour Declaration" at the end of World War II and that balance has shifted, owing to Jewish immigration following the war.
As far as Russia goes, first it was communism, which Truman and his team convinced themselves was dedicated to world domination. Of course, Truman and his boys, Curtis Lemay, Forrestal, Acheson, were also bent on world domination, and while America had a monopoly on the atom bomb, they thought it was a done deal.
But then Truman was shocked to learn his mission accomplished idea was a fraud, and the Russians, three years later had a bomb of their own, and everyone was off to the races to the hydrogen bomb, which just might set the atmosphere on fire.
And rather than try to negotiate on a more or less equal footing with potential adversaries, the United States decided to simply overwhelm them with spending on defense nobody else could match.
But somehow, that didn't quite control the problems of Russia, or Iran or the Middle East.
We tick off the problems of billionaires running capitalist societies to their own tastes, of struggling work a day folks trying to get by, of under developed nations in Latin America and the inevitable desperate exodus from those nations toward the magnet of wealth in the north, of intolerance of new ideas and the rejection of novel solutions, and you realize we have really made no progress at all in politics, sociology, psychology.
When a man from South Asia runs for mayor of NYC and suggests free bus fare and city sponsored grocery stores cries of the demise of Western Civilization arise. Where will the money come from? Really? In New York City, where only Wall Street capitalists who make more than $10 million a year can afford to buy an apartment you ask where all the money will come from?
The only real progress we have made has been in science and engineering, particularly bioscience: We were able to develop a vaccine to bring COVID under some semblance of control; we've improved cardiovascular disease outcomes by lowering cholesterol and with angiography and stents; we've controlled some infectious diseases--although our biggest weapon, vaccines, has been thrown under the bus. We made some advances in the treatment of cancer and some lymphomas are actually now curable, as is testicular carcinoma.
Patient, incredibly detailed work on microscopic things has brought us miles of advances in the way life is lived, at least in America. Of course, now biomedical research is being rejected and defunded for ideological reasons. But until now, we did make some real advances.
We have made huge advances in communications and information management which were problems most of us didn't really even know we had in the 1970's. Even science fiction writers didn't imagine the information age. Most science fiction was about wild advances in transportation (space ships, Beam Me Up Scotty), or weapons, or time travel, but how many science fiction writers were writing about artificial intelligence (beyond rudimentary robots) or cell phones or desk top computers or ordering on line goods and services?
Henry Wallace |
Our President in 1948 was simply too small a man, with too small a mind. He did not really like being President: he liked playing poker with his buddies, where he could call people "Niggers" and "kikes," and everyone would laugh. He never lost a minute of sleep about dropping the bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. He got good advice from his Commerce Secretary, Henry Wallace--who was FDR's vice president, but who was too liberal to be tolerated by the Dixiecrats and billionaires, so Truman got shoved in to replace him. Truman listened to Wallace, but as soon as he was out of the room, he listened to the next guys in, who wanted capitalism and military spending to rule. They were the testosterone driven guys you see in Dr. Strangelove. Knowing on some level his own limitations, Truman endeavored to listen to the smart boys, but he couldn't figure out who to actually stick with.
So, then as now, we have small brains in big places and that is democracy. Or we have brain worms. Or fake leaders who look good in costume or who are pretty enough to anchor segments on FOXNEWS.
Sometimes in history, the big brained guys give us a polio vaccine, a penicillin, a cholesterol lowering drug and things shift a little. But, for the most part, it's just one caveman pounding another caveman over the head with a bigger club.